AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
USL Super League Mar 23, 2025

Lexington Women

Home
VS
20:00

Carolina Ascent Women

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Lexington Women Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Carolina Ascent Women Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 64%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.26 - 0.92
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lexington Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Carolina Ascent Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Lexington Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Lexington… vs DC Power … 1-2
Mar 02 Lexington… vs Brooklyn … 0-0
Feb 23 Lexington… vs Fort Laud… 2-0
Feb 16 Lexington… vs Carolina … 2-1
Dec 14 Lexington… vs DC Power … 3-0
Dec 08 Lexington… vs Brooklyn … 0-3
Nov 14 Lexington… vs Spokane Z… 1-1
Nov 10 Lexington… vs Dallas Tr… 2-3
Oct 25 Lexington… vs DC Power … 2-1
Oct 19 Lexington… vs Fort Laud… 1-2
Carolina Ascent Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Carolina … vs Fort Laud… 1-2
Feb 23 Carolina … vs DC Power … 3-3
Feb 16 Carolina … vs Lexington… 2-1
Dec 15 Carolina … vs Fort Laud… 2-0
Nov 24 Carolina … vs Dallas Tr… 0-1
Nov 03 Carolina … vs DC Power … 0-1
Oct 26 Carolina … vs Dallas Tr… 2-2
Oct 19 Carolina … vs Brooklyn … 2-0
Oct 15 Carolina … vs Brooklyn … 1-1
Oct 06 Carolina … vs Lexington… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Carolina Ascent Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 16, 2025 Carolina Ascent Wom… 2 - 1 Lexington Women USL Super Leag…
Oct 06, 2024 Lexington Women 1 - 1 Carolina Ascent Wom… USL Super Leag…
Aug 25, 2024 Carolina Ascent Wom… 1 - 1 Lexington Women USL Super Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lexington Women to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lexington Women Power 0
Carolina Ascent Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Lexington Women Position

+2

Position Gap

4

Carolina Ascent Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.