AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
USL Super League Feb 16, 2025

Carolina Ascent Women

Home
VS
00:00

Lexington Women

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Carolina Ascent Women Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Lexington Women Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.58 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.6
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Carolina Ascent Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Lexington Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Carolina Ascent Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 15 Carolina … vs Fort Laud… 2-0
Nov 24 Carolina … vs Dallas Tr… 0-1
Nov 03 Carolina … vs DC Power … 0-1
Oct 26 Carolina … vs Dallas Tr… 2-2
Oct 19 Carolina … vs Brooklyn … 2-0
Oct 15 Carolina … vs Brooklyn … 1-1
Oct 06 Carolina … vs Lexington… 1-1
Sep 06 Carolina … vs Fort Laud… 2-1
Aug 25 Carolina … vs Lexington… 1-1
Aug 17 Carolina … vs DC Power … 1-0
Lexington Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 14 Lexington… vs DC Power … 3-0
Dec 08 Lexington… vs Brooklyn … 0-3
Nov 14 Lexington… vs Spokane Z… 1-1
Nov 10 Lexington… vs Dallas Tr… 2-3
Oct 25 Lexington… vs DC Power … 2-1
Oct 19 Lexington… vs Fort Laud… 1-2
Oct 13 Lexington… vs Spokane Z… 2-3
Oct 06 Lexington… vs Carolina … 1-1
Sep 28 Lexington… vs Brooklyn … 1-0
Sep 22 Lexington… vs Fort Laud… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lexington Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 06, 2024 Lexington Women 1 - 1 Carolina Ascent Wom… USL Super Leag…
Aug 25, 2024 Carolina Ascent Wom… 1 - 1 Lexington Women USL Super Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Carolina Ascent Women Power 0
Lexington Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Carolina Ascent Women Position

-2

Position Gap

2

Lexington Women Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.