AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Mar 09, 2025

TSV Hartberg

Home
VS
16:00

Rapid Wien

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
TSV Hartberg Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Rapid Wien Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.37 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
TSV Hartberg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Rapid Wien Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
TSV Hartberg Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 09 TSV Hartb… vs WSG Watte… 0-0
Jan 31 TSV Hartb… vs Stripfing 0-2
Nov 02 TSV Hartb… vs LASK Linz 1-1
Oct 29 TSV Hartb… vs Austria W… 0-3
Oct 20 TSV Hartb… vs Rapid Wien 2-1
Sep 26 TSV Hartb… vs WSG Watte… 1-0
Aug 27 TSV Hartb… vs SV Lafnitz 0-6
Aug 03 TSV Hartb… vs LASK Linz 1-2
Jul 06 TSV Hartb… vs SV Lafnitz 2-3
May 28 TSV Hartb… vs Austria W… 0-1
Rapid Wien Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 12 Rapid Wien vs Omonia Ni… 3-1
Dec 01 Rapid Wien vs FC BW Linz 0-1
Nov 23 Rapid Wien vs WSG Watte… 0-0
Oct 30 Rapid Wien vs Stripfing 2-1
Oct 20 Rapid Wien vs TSV Hartb… 2-1
Aug 25 Rapid Wien vs FC BW Linz 3-0
Aug 18 Rapid Wien vs WSG Watte… 2-0
May 19 Rapid Wien vs TSV Hartb… 0-3
May 12 Rapid Wien vs Austria W… 0-1
May 05 Rapid Wien vs RB Salzbu… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rapid Wien struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 20, 2024 Rapid Wien 2 - 1 TSV Hartberg Bundesliga
May 19, 2024 Rapid Wien 0 - 3 TSV Hartberg Bundesliga
Mar 31, 2024 TSV Hartberg 0 - 3 Rapid Wien Bundesliga
Nov 11, 2023 TSV Hartberg 1 - 0 Rapid Wien Bundesliga
Aug 13, 2023 Rapid Wien 0 - 1 TSV Hartberg Bundesliga
Nov 12, 2022 TSV Hartberg 1 - 2 Rapid Wien Bundesliga
Oct 26, 2022 Rapid Wien 5 - 1 TSV Hartberg Bundesliga
Feb 05, 2022 Rapid Wien 1 - 2 TSV Hartberg Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
TSV Hartberg Power 0
Rapid Wien Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

TSV Hartberg Position

+3

Position Gap

7

Rapid Wien Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.