AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Nov 11, 2023

TSV Hartberg

Home
VS
16:00

Rapid Wien

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
TSV Hartberg Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Rapid Wien Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.77 - 0.90
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.9
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
TSV Hartberg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Rapid Wien Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
TSV Hartberg Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 07 TSV Hartb… vs WSG Watte… 3-0
Sep 24 TSV Hartb… vs LASK Linz 0-0
Aug 13 TSV Hartb… vs Rapid Wien 0-1
May 27 TSV Hartb… vs Ried 2-0
May 06 TSV Hartb… vs WSG Watte… 5-0
Apr 29 TSV Hartb… vs WSG Watte… 1-1
Apr 08 TSV Hartb… vs Ried 1-3
Feb 12 TSV Hartb… vs Ried 0-1
Nov 12 TSV Hartb… vs Rapid Wien 1-2
Oct 26 TSV Hartb… vs Rapid Wien 5-1
Rapid Wien Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Rapid Wien vs First Vie… 1-4
Aug 20 Rapid Wien vs FC BW Linz 0-5
Aug 13 Rapid Wien vs TSV Hartb… 0-1
Apr 05 Rapid Wien vs Ried 2-1
Dec 02 Rapid Wien vs First Vie… 4-1
Nov 12 Rapid Wien vs TSV Hartb… 1-2
Oct 26 Rapid Wien vs TSV Hartb… 5-1
Oct 15 Rapid Wien vs Ried 1-0
Jul 24 Rapid Wien vs Ried 1-0
Feb 05 Rapid Wien vs TSV Hartb… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • TSV Hartberg in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Rapid Wien in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 13, 2023 Rapid Wien 0 - 1 TSV Hartberg Bundesliga
Nov 12, 2022 TSV Hartberg 1 - 2 Rapid Wien Bundesliga
Oct 26, 2022 Rapid Wien 5 - 1 TSV Hartberg Bundesliga
Feb 05, 2022 Rapid Wien 1 - 2 TSV Hartberg Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
TSV Hartberg Power 0
Rapid Wien Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

TSV Hartberg Position

+3

Position Gap

7

Rapid Wien Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.