AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League Mar 08, 2025

Cherno More Varna

Home
VS
15:30

Spartak Varna

Away
AI Predictions 61.7% Confidence
Cherno More Varna Win
61.7%
Draw
21.7%
Spartak Varna Win
16.7%
Home Win (62% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.01 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cherno More Varna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Spartak Varna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (22%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Cherno More Varna Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 03 Cherno Mo… vs Lokomotiv… 4-0
Nov 24 Cherno Mo… vs CSKA 1948 0-4
Nov 09 Cherno Mo… vs Beroe 0-1
Oct 25 Cherno Mo… vs Botev Plo… 1-0
Sep 28 Cherno Mo… vs CSKA Sofia 0-0
Sep 22 Cherno Mo… vs Spartak V… 0-2
Sep 15 Cherno Mo… vs Arda Kard… 1-1
Aug 04 Cherno Mo… vs Lokomotiv… 2-1
Jul 19 Cherno Mo… vs CSKA 1948 0-0
May 23 Cherno Mo… vs CSKA Sofia 0-1
Spartak Varna Form 3.3%
Date Match Result
Sep 22 Spartak V… vs Cherno Mo… 0-2
May 07 Spartak V… vs Cherno Mo… 3-2
Oct 22 Spartak V… vs Cherno Mo… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cherno More Varna in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 22, 2024 Spartak Varna 0 - 2 Cherno More Varna First League
May 07, 2023 Cherno More Varna 3 - 2 Spartak Varna First League
Oct 22, 2022 Spartak Varna 0 - 0 Cherno More Varna First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cherno More Varna to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cherno More Varna Power 0
Spartak Varna Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Cherno More Varna Position

+8

Position Gap

12

Spartak Varna Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.