AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League Sep 22, 2024

Spartak Varna

Home
VS
17:00

Cherno More Varna

Away
AI Predictions 38.8% Confidence
Spartak Varna Win
34.0%
Draw
27.2%
Cherno More Varna Win
38.8%
Away Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.46 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Spartak Varna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Cherno More Varna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Spartak Varna Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
May 07 Spartak V… vs Cherno Mo… 3-2
Oct 22 Spartak V… vs Cherno Mo… 0-0
Cherno More Varna Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 15 Cherno Mo… vs Arda Kard… 1-1
Aug 04 Cherno Mo… vs Lokomotiv… 2-1
Jul 19 Cherno Mo… vs CSKA 1948 0-0
May 23 Cherno Mo… vs CSKA Sofia 0-1
Apr 04 Cherno Mo… vs Lokomotiv… 3-0
Mar 31 Cherno Mo… vs Botev Plo… 0-0
Mar 15 Cherno Mo… vs CSKA 1948 2-1
Mar 09 Cherno Mo… vs Beroe 2-0
Feb 24 Cherno Mo… vs CSKA Sofia 1-0
Dec 02 Cherno Mo… vs Etar Veli… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 07, 2023 Cherno More Varna 3 - 2 Spartak Varna First League
Oct 22, 2022 Spartak Varna 0 - 0 Cherno More Varna First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Spartak Varna Power 0
Cherno More Varna Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Spartak Varna Position

-8

Position Gap

4

Cherno More Varna Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.