AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League May 07, 2023

Cherno More Varna

Home
VS
14:45

Spartak Varna

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Cherno More Varna Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Spartak Varna Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.38 - 1.11
Key Insights
Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cherno More Varna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Spartak Varna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 2-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Cherno More Varna Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Cherno Mo… vs Arda Kard… 2-2
Apr 04 Cherno Mo… vs CSKA Sofia 1-2
Mar 04 Cherno Mo… vs Botev Plo… 1-2
Feb 18 Cherno Mo… vs Beroe 1-1
Jan 25 Cherno Mo… vs Etar Veli… 1-1
Oct 29 Cherno Mo… vs Lokomotiv… 2-1
Oct 22 Cherno Mo… vs Spartak V… 0-0
Oct 14 Cherno Mo… vs Arda Kard… 1-1
Aug 19 Cherno Mo… vs Botev Plo… 3-4
Aug 06 Cherno Mo… vs Beroe 0-2
Spartak Varna Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 Spartak V… vs Cherno Mo… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 22, 2022 Spartak Varna 0 - 0 Cherno More Varna First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cherno More Varna to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cherno More Varna Power 0
Spartak Varna Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Cherno More Varna Position

+8

Position Gap

12

Spartak Varna Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.