AI Match Insights

J1 League Feb 14, 2025

Gamba Osaka

Home
VS
10:00

Cerezo Osaka

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Gamba Osaka Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Cerezo Osaka Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 3.45 - 0.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Gamba Osaka Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Cerezo Osaka Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Gamba Osaka Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Gamba Osa… vs Sanfrecce… 3-1
Nov 30 Gamba Osa… vs Albirex N… 0-1
Nov 23 Gamba Osa… vs Vissel Ko… 0-1
Nov 09 Gamba Osa… vs Júbilo Iw… 3-4
Oct 27 Gamba Osa… vs Yokohama … 2-3
Oct 23 Gamba Osa… vs Nagoya Gr… 3-2
Oct 02 Gamba Osa… vs Cerezo Os… 1-0
Sep 28 Gamba Osa… vs Tokyo Ver… 1-1
Sep 11 Gamba Osa… vs Sanfrecce… 1-2
Aug 21 Gamba Osa… vs Shonan Be… 3-2
Cerezo Osaka Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Cerezo Os… vs FC Tokyo 3-0
Nov 30 Cerezo Os… vs Kashima 0-2
Nov 09 Cerezo Os… vs Avispa Fu… 1-0
Nov 03 Cerezo Os… vs Consadole… 1-1
Oct 19 Cerezo Os… vs Júbilo Iw… 1-2
Oct 02 Cerezo Os… vs Gamba Osa… 1-0
Jul 10 Cerezo Os… vs Ventforet… 1-2
Jun 09 Cerezo Os… vs Machida Z… 2-2
Jun 05 Cerezo Os… vs Machida Z… 1-3
May 22 Cerezo Os… vs FC Ryukyu 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gamba Osaka in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Cerezo Osaka struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 02, 2024 Cerezo Osaka 1 - 0 Gamba Osaka J1 League
May 06, 2024 Gamba Osaka 1 - 0 Cerezo Osaka J1 League
Oct 28, 2023 Cerezo Osaka 1 - 0 Gamba Osaka J1 League
Jun 18, 2023 Cerezo Osaka 0 - 1 Gamba Osaka J-League Cup
May 03, 2023 Gamba Osaka 1 - 2 Cerezo Osaka J1 League
Mar 26, 2023 Gamba Osaka 1 - 1 Cerezo Osaka J-League Cup
Jul 16, 2022 Gamba Osaka 1 - 2 Cerezo Osaka J1 League
May 21, 2022 Cerezo Osaka 3 - 1 Gamba Osaka J1 League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Gamba Osaka to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gamba Osaka Power 0
Cerezo Osaka Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.