AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
J1 League Mar 01, 2025

Kashima

Home
VS
05:00

FC Tokyo

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Kashima Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
FC Tokyo Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 3.49 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Kashima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
FC Tokyo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Kashima Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Kashima vs Machida Z… 3-1
Dec 01 Kashima vs Matsumoto… 1-1
Nov 30 Kashima vs Cerezo Os… 0-2
Nov 24 Kashima vs Grulla Mo… 1-4
Nov 17 Kashima vs Kyoto San… 0-0
Nov 17 Kashima vs Azul Clar… 2-1
Nov 10 Kashima vs Kanazawa 1-2
Nov 10 Kashima vs Fagiano O… 0-0
Nov 09 Kashima vs Nagoya Gr… 0-0
Nov 03 Kashima vs Tokushima… 1-0
FC Tokyo Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 FC Tokyo vs Machida Z… 0-1
Dec 08 FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Os… 3-0
Nov 30 FC Tokyo vs Júbilo Iw… 2-1
Nov 09 FC Tokyo vs Machida Z… 3-0
Nov 03 FC Tokyo vs Shonan Be… 0-2
Jul 20 FC Tokyo vs Kashima 2-1
Jul 13 FC Tokyo vs Albirex N… 2-0
Jul 10 FC Tokyo vs JEF Unite… 1-2
Jun 12 FC Tokyo vs Veertien … 3-0
Jun 09 FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kashima in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • FC Tokyo struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 20, 2024 Kashima 2 - 1 FC Tokyo J1 League
Apr 07, 2024 FC Tokyo 2 - 0 Kashima J1 League
Jul 16, 2023 FC Tokyo 1 - 3 Kashima J1 League
May 20, 2023 Kashima 1 - 1 FC Tokyo J1 League
Oct 01, 2022 Kashima 0 - 1 FC Tokyo J1 League
May 29, 2022 FC Tokyo 3 - 1 Kashima J1 League
Oct 23, 2021 FC Tokyo 1 - 2 Kashima J1 League
May 09, 2021 Kashima 3 - 0 FC Tokyo J1 League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kashima to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kashima Power 0
FC Tokyo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.