AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
J1 League Jul 20, 2024

Kashima

Home
VS
09:00

FC Tokyo

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Kashima Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
FC Tokyo Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.51 - 1.89
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.9
Score Prediction Analysis
Kashima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
FC Tokyo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Kashima Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 14 Kashima vs Yokohama … 4-1
Jul 10 Kashima vs Fujieda M… 2-1
Jun 12 Kashima vs Oita Trin… 1-0
Jun 12 Kashima vs Gamba Osa… 3-0
Jun 12 Kashima vs Nara Club 2-1
Jun 01 Kashima vs Yokohama … 3-2
May 22 Kashima vs Machida Z… 2-0
Apr 21 Kashima vs Tochigi SC 2-1
Apr 17 Kashima vs Tokyo Ver… 0-1
Apr 07 Kashima vs FC Tokyo 2-0
FC Tokyo Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 13 FC Tokyo vs Albirex N… 2-0
Jul 10 FC Tokyo vs JEF Unite… 1-2
Jun 12 FC Tokyo vs Veertien … 3-0
Jun 09 FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce… 3-1
Jun 05 FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce… 1-2
May 22 FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu 1-1
Apr 27 FC Tokyo vs Albirex N… 1-3
Apr 21 FC Tokyo vs Machida Z… 1-2
Apr 17 FC Tokyo vs YSCC 0-4
Apr 07 FC Tokyo vs Kashima 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kashima struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • FC Tokyo struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 07, 2024 FC Tokyo 2 - 0 Kashima J1 League
Jul 16, 2023 FC Tokyo 1 - 3 Kashima J1 League
May 20, 2023 Kashima 1 - 1 FC Tokyo J1 League
Oct 01, 2022 Kashima 0 - 1 FC Tokyo J1 League
May 29, 2022 FC Tokyo 3 - 1 Kashima J1 League
Oct 23, 2021 FC Tokyo 1 - 2 Kashima J1 League
May 09, 2021 Kashima 3 - 0 FC Tokyo J1 League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kashima to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kashima Power 0
FC Tokyo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.