AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
J1 League Apr 07, 2024

FC Tokyo

Home
VS
08:00

Kashima

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
FC Tokyo Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Kashima Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.86 - 1.96
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 2.0
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Tokyo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Kashima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 1-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%
FC Tokyo Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 03 FC Tokyo vs Shonan Be… 0-1
Nov 25 FC Tokyo vs Consadole… 1-3
Nov 11 FC Tokyo vs Albirex N… 0-0
Jul 16 FC Tokyo vs Kashima 1-3
May 20 FC Tokyo vs Kashima 1-1
Apr 29 FC Tokyo vs Albirex N… 2-1
Oct 01 FC Tokyo vs Kashima 0-1
May 29 FC Tokyo vs Kashima 3-1
Oct 23 FC Tokyo vs Kashima 1-2
May 09 FC Tokyo vs Kashima 3-0
Kashima Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 03 Kashima vs Yokohama … 2-1
Dec 02 Kashima vs Gainare T… 1-1
Dec 02 Kashima vs FC Ryukyu 0-0
Nov 26 Kashima vs Kitakyushu 1-2
Nov 26 Kashima vs Azul Clar… 2-0
Nov 24 Kashima vs Kawasaki … 3-0
Nov 19 Kashima vs Imabari 2-1
Nov 19 Kashima vs Ehime FC 4-1
Sep 24 Kashima vs Yokohama … 1-2
Jul 16 Kashima vs FC Tokyo 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kashima in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 16, 2023 FC Tokyo 1 - 3 Kashima J1 League
May 20, 2023 Kashima 1 - 1 FC Tokyo J1 League
Oct 01, 2022 Kashima 0 - 1 FC Tokyo J1 League
May 29, 2022 FC Tokyo 3 - 1 Kashima J1 League
Oct 23, 2021 FC Tokyo 1 - 2 Kashima J1 League
May 09, 2021 Kashima 3 - 0 FC Tokyo J1 League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Tokyo to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Tokyo Power 0
Kashima Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.