AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
J1 League Jul 16, 2023

FC Tokyo

Home
VS
10:00

Kashima

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
FC Tokyo Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Kashima Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.68 - 1.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 1.1
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Tokyo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Kashima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
FC Tokyo Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 20 FC Tokyo vs Kashima 1-1
Apr 29 FC Tokyo vs Albirex Nā€¦ 2-1
Oct 01 FC Tokyo vs Kashima 0-1
May 29 FC Tokyo vs Kashima 3-1
Oct 23 FC Tokyo vs Kashima 1-2
May 09 FC Tokyo vs Kashima 3-0
Kashima Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
May 20 Kashima vs FC Tokyo 1-1
Mar 18 Kashima vs Yokohama ā€¦ 2-1
Oct 01 Kashima vs FC Tokyo 0-1
Jul 30 Kashima vs Yokohama ā€¦ 2-0
May 29 Kashima vs FC Tokyo 3-1
Apr 10 Kashima vs Yokohama ā€¦ 0-3
Oct 23 Kashima vs FC Tokyo 1-2
Aug 28 Kashima vs Yokohama ā€¦ 0-2
May 15 Kashima vs Yokohama ā€¦ 5-3
May 09 Kashima vs FC Tokyo 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Tokyo in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Kashima struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 20, 2023 Kashima 1 - 1 FC Tokyo J1 League
Oct 01, 2022 Kashima 0 - 1 FC Tokyo J1 League
May 29, 2022 FC Tokyo 3 - 1 Kashima J1 League
Oct 23, 2021 FC Tokyo 1 - 2 Kashima J1 League
May 09, 2021 Kashima 3 - 0 FC Tokyo J1 League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Tokyo to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Tokyo Power 0
Kashima Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.