AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
J1 League May 20, 2023

Kashima

Home
VS
06:00

FC Tokyo

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Kashima Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
FC Tokyo Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.45 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.6
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kashima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
FC Tokyo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Kashima Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 Kashima vs Yokohama ā€¦ 2-1
Oct 01 Kashima vs FC Tokyo 0-1
Jul 30 Kashima vs Yokohama ā€¦ 2-0
May 29 Kashima vs FC Tokyo 3-1
Apr 10 Kashima vs Yokohama ā€¦ 0-3
Oct 23 Kashima vs FC Tokyo 1-2
Aug 28 Kashima vs Yokohama ā€¦ 0-2
May 15 Kashima vs Yokohama ā€¦ 5-3
May 09 Kashima vs FC Tokyo 3-0
Nov 03 Kashima vs Yokohama ā€¦ 2-3
FC Tokyo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 29 FC Tokyo vs Albirex Nā€¦ 2-1
Oct 01 FC Tokyo vs Kashima 0-1
May 29 FC Tokyo vs Kashima 3-1
Oct 23 FC Tokyo vs Kashima 1-2
May 09 FC Tokyo vs Kashima 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Tokyo in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Kashima struggling (5L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 01, 2022 Kashima 0 - 1 FC Tokyo J1 League
May 29, 2022 FC Tokyo 3 - 1 Kashima J1 League
Oct 23, 2021 FC Tokyo 1 - 2 Kashima J1 League
May 09, 2021 Kashima 3 - 0 FC Tokyo J1 League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kashima to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kashima Power 0
FC Tokyo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.