AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Mar 08, 2026

Paris Saint Germain

Home
VS
16:00

Monaco

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Paris Saint Germain Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Monaco Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.26 - 0.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.8 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Monaco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Paris Saint Germain Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Paris Sai… vs Strasbourg 1-2
Jan 28 Paris Sai… vs Newcastle… 1-0
Jan 23 Paris Sai… vs Auxerre 0-1
Jan 20 Paris Sai… vs Sporting … 2-1
Jan 16 Paris Sai… vs Lille 3-0
Jan 12 Paris Sai… vs Paris FC 0-1
Jan 04 Paris Sai… vs Paris FC 2-1
Dec 20 Paris Sai… vs Vendée Fo… 0-4
Dec 13 Paris Sai… vs Metz 2-3
Dec 10 Paris Sai… vs Athletic … 0-0
Monaco Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Monaco vs Strasbourg 3-1
Jan 31 Monaco vs Rennes FC 4-0
Jan 28 Monaco vs Juventus 0-0
Jan 24 Monaco vs LE Havre … 0-0
Jan 20 Monaco vs Real Madr… 6-1
Jan 16 Monaco vs Lorient 1-3
Jan 10 Monaco vs Orléans 1-3
Jan 03 Monaco vs Lyon 1-3
Dec 21 Monaco vs Auxerre 1-2
Dec 14 Monaco vs Marseille 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paris Saint Germain in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 29, 2025 Monaco 1 - 0 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Feb 07, 2025 Paris Saint Germain 4 - 1 Monaco Ligue 1
Jan 05, 2025 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 0 Monaco Trophée des Ch…
Dec 18, 2024 Monaco 2 - 4 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Mar 01, 2024 Monaco 0 - 0 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Nov 24, 2023 Paris Saint Germain 5 - 2 Monaco Ligue 1
Feb 11, 2023 Monaco 3 - 1 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Aug 28, 2022 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 1 Monaco Ligue 1
Mar 20, 2022 Monaco 3 - 0 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Dec 12, 2021 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 0 Monaco Ligue 1
Final Verdict

PRO: Paris Saint Germain to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paris Saint Germain Power 49
Monaco Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Paris Saint Germain Position

+9

Position Gap

10

Monaco Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.