AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera DivisiĆ³n - Apertura Feb 15, 2026

Danubio

Home
VS
20:00

Boston River

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Danubio Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Boston River Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 2.03 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.7
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Danubio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Boston River Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Danubio Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 12 Danubio vs Boston Riā€¦ 1-0
Nov 08 Danubio vs Plaza Colā€¦ 2-0
Nov 02 Danubio vs Racing Clā€¦ 1-2
Oct 26 Danubio vs River Plaā€¦ 0-1
Oct 17 Danubio vs Boston Riā€¦ 0-0
Oct 12 Danubio vs Club Naciā€¦ 0-0
Oct 05 Danubio vs PeƱarol Mā€¦ 2-0
Sep 28 Danubio vs Atletico ā€¦ 2-0
Sep 19 Danubio vs Defensor ā€¦ 2-1
Sep 14 Danubio vs Cerrito 5-1
Boston River Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Boston Riā€¦ vs Progreso 1-2
Jan 23 Boston Riā€¦ vs PeƱarol Mā€¦ 2-2
Jan 18 Boston Riā€¦ vs Albion FC 1-1
Jan 12 Boston Riā€¦ vs Danubio 1-0
Nov 09 Boston Riā€¦ vs Cerrito 0-0
Oct 31 Boston Riā€¦ vs Wanderers 2-2
Oct 27 Boston Riā€¦ vs Miramar 0-4
Oct 17 Boston Riā€¦ vs Danubio 0-0
Oct 11 Boston Riā€¦ vs Cerro Larā€¦ 2-2
Oct 04 Boston Riā€¦ vs Juventud 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 12, 2026 Boston River 1 - 0 Danubio Copa De La Ligā€¦
Oct 17, 2025 Boston River 0 - 0 Danubio Primera Divisiā€¦
Jun 14, 2025 Boston River 1 - 1 Danubio Primera Divisiā€¦
Apr 18, 2025 Danubio 1 - 2 Boston River Primera Divisiā€¦
Sep 08, 2024 Danubio 2 - 0 Boston River Primera Divisiā€¦
Jul 21, 2024 Boston River 1 - 2 Danubio Primera Divisiā€¦
Feb 24, 2024 Boston River 0 - 0 Danubio Primera Divisiā€¦
Oct 24, 2023 Danubio 1 - 1 Boston River Primera Divisiā€¦
Jul 02, 2023 Boston River 1 - 0 Danubio Primera Divisiā€¦
Mar 19, 2023 Boston River 3 - 3 Danubio Primera Divisiā€¦
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Danubio to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Danubio Power 0
Boston River Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.