AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A2 Jan 22, 2025

Grêmio Prudente

Home
VS
22:30

São Bento

Away
AI Predictions 48.0% Confidence
Grêmio Prudente Win
48.0%
Draw
24.4%
São Bento Win
27.6%
Home Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 2.07 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.9
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Grêmio Prudente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
São Bento Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Grêmio Prudente Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 19 Grêmio Pr… vs Ituano 3-2
Jan 15 Grêmio Pr… vs São José … 2-0
Aug 17 Grêmio Pr… vs Votuporan… 4-0
Jul 13 Grêmio Pr… vs Votuporan… 2-2
Apr 27 Grêmio Pr… vs Votuporan… 1-0
Apr 24 Grêmio Pr… vs Votuporan… 2-2
Feb 07 Grêmio Pr… vs Sertãozin… 2-0
Jan 24 Grêmio Pr… vs Votuporan… 0-2
Sep 30 Grêmio Pr… vs São José … 2-0
Sep 23 Grêmio Pr… vs São José … 1-1
São Bento Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 03 São Bento vs Grêmio Pr… 2-2
Jul 29 São Bento vs Grêmio Pr… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Grêmio Prudente struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 03, 2023 São Bento 2 - 2 Grêmio Prudente Copa Paulista
Jul 29, 2023 Grêmio Prudente 3 - 0 São Bento Copa Paulista
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Grêmio Prudente to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 85
Grêmio Prudente Power 0
São Bento Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Grêmio Prudente Position

+2

Position Gap

16

São Bento Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.