AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1a Divisió Nov 30, 2024

UE Santa Coloma

Home
VS
19:30

Penya Encarnada

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
UE Santa Coloma Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Penya Encarnada Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.67 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.5 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
UE Santa Coloma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Penya Encarnada Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
UE Santa Coloma Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 27 UE Santa … vs Penya Enc… 2-1
Apr 13 UE Santa … vs Penya Enc… 1-1
Mar 17 UE Santa … vs Penya Enc… 1-0
Feb 18 UE Santa … vs Penya Enc… 0-0
Nov 25 UE Santa … vs Penya Enc… 1-2
Apr 16 UE Santa … vs Penya Enc… 4-1
Jan 29 UE Santa … vs Penya Enc… 1-1
Penya Encarnada Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Penya Enc… vs Pas de la… 1-0
Nov 09 Penya Enc… vs Inter Clu… 5-1
Nov 02 Penya Enc… vs Ranger's 0-6
Oct 27 Penya Enc… vs UE Santa … 2-1
Oct 20 Penya Enc… vs Ordino 0-0
Oct 06 Penya Enc… vs FC Santa … 2-1
Sep 29 Penya Enc… vs Esperança… 4-1
Sep 15 Penya Enc… vs Inter Clu… 0-0
May 19 Penya Enc… vs Inter Clu… 1-3
May 12 Penya Enc… vs Carroi 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • UE Santa Coloma in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Penya Encarnada struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 27, 2024 UE Santa Coloma 2 - 1 Penya Encarnada 1a Divisió
Apr 13, 2024 UE Santa Coloma 1 - 1 Penya Encarnada 1a Divisió
Mar 17, 2024 UE Santa Coloma 1 - 0 Penya Encarnada Copa Constituc…
Feb 18, 2024 Penya Encarnada 0 - 0 UE Santa Coloma 1a Divisió
Nov 25, 2023 Penya Encarnada 1 - 2 UE Santa Coloma 1a Divisió
Apr 16, 2023 Penya Encarnada 4 - 1 UE Santa Coloma 1a Divisió
Jan 29, 2023 Penya Encarnada 1 - 1 UE Santa Coloma 1a Divisió
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
UE Santa Coloma Power 0
Penya Encarnada Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

UE Santa Coloma Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Penya Encarnada Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.