AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1a Divisió Oct 27, 2024

UE Santa Coloma

Home
VS
10:00

Penya Encarnada

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
UE Santa Coloma Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Penya Encarnada Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 66%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.89 - 0.41
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
UE Santa Coloma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Penya Encarnada Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (27%) 1-0 (24%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Under 2.5 Goals 86%
UE Santa Coloma Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 UE Santa … vs Penya Enc… 1-1
Mar 17 UE Santa … vs Penya Enc… 1-0
Feb 18 UE Santa … vs Penya Enc… 0-0
Nov 25 UE Santa … vs Penya Enc… 1-2
Apr 16 UE Santa … vs Penya Enc… 4-1
Jan 29 UE Santa … vs Penya Enc… 1-1
Penya Encarnada Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 Penya Enc… vs Ordino 0-0
Oct 06 Penya Enc… vs FC Santa … 2-1
Sep 29 Penya Enc… vs Esperança… 4-1
Sep 15 Penya Enc… vs Inter Clu… 0-0
May 19 Penya Enc… vs Inter Clu… 1-3
May 12 Penya Enc… vs Carroi 0-2
May 05 Penya Enc… vs Esperança… 3-2
Apr 21 Penya Enc… vs FC Santa … 2-4
Apr 13 Penya Enc… vs UE Santa … 1-1
Apr 07 Penya Enc… vs Inter Clu… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 13, 2024 UE Santa Coloma 1 - 1 Penya Encarnada 1a Divisió
Mar 17, 2024 UE Santa Coloma 1 - 0 Penya Encarnada Copa Constituc…
Feb 18, 2024 Penya Encarnada 0 - 0 UE Santa Coloma 1a Divisió
Nov 25, 2023 Penya Encarnada 1 - 2 UE Santa Coloma 1a Divisió
Apr 16, 2023 Penya Encarnada 4 - 1 UE Santa Coloma 1a Divisió
Jan 29, 2023 Penya Encarnada 1 - 1 UE Santa Coloma 1a Divisió
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
UE Santa Coloma Power 0
Penya Encarnada Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

UE Santa Coloma Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Penya Encarnada Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.