AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1a Divisió Feb 18, 2024

Penya Encarnada

Home
VS
10:00

UE Santa Coloma

Away
AI Predictions 39.7% Confidence
Penya Encarnada Win
39.7%
Draw
26.1%
UE Santa Coloma Win
34.3%
Home Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.38 - 1.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.4
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Penya Encarnada Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
UE Santa Coloma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Penya Encarnada Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 11 Penya Enc… vs Carroi 4-1
Feb 04 Penya Enc… vs Inter Clu… 0-2
Jan 21 Penya Enc… vs FC Santa … 0-2
Jan 14 Penya Enc… vs FC Santa … 2-2
Dec 17 Penya Enc… vs Inter Clu… 3-0
Dec 10 Penya Enc… vs Ordino 1-0
Dec 03 Penya Enc… vs Esperança… 0-3
Nov 25 Penya Enc… vs UE Santa … 1-2
Nov 11 Penya Enc… vs Carroi 0-2
Nov 04 Penya Enc… vs Inter Clu… 1-1
UE Santa Coloma Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 25 UE Santa … vs Penya Enc… 1-2
Apr 16 UE Santa … vs Penya Enc… 4-1
Jan 29 UE Santa … vs Penya Enc… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Penya Encarnada struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 25, 2023 Penya Encarnada 1 - 2 UE Santa Coloma 1a Divisió
Apr 16, 2023 Penya Encarnada 4 - 1 UE Santa Coloma 1a Divisió
Jan 29, 2023 Penya Encarnada 1 - 1 UE Santa Coloma 1a Divisió
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Penya Encarnada to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 93
Penya Encarnada Power 0
UE Santa Coloma Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Penya Encarnada Position

-5

Position Gap

1

UE Santa Coloma Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 75%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.