AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1a DivisiĂł Jan 29, 2023

Penya Encarnada

Home
VS
10:00

UE Santa Coloma

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Penya Encarnada Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
UE Santa Coloma Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.30 - 1.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.2
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Penya Encarnada Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
UE Santa Coloma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Penya Encarnada Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 22 Penya Enc… vs Ordino 2-0
Dec 04 Penya Enc… vs Inter Clu… 4-0
Nov 13 Penya Enc… vs Inter Clu… 8-0
May 21 Penya Enc… vs Carroi 3-0
May 02 Penya Enc… vs Carroi 1-3
Feb 07 Penya Enc… vs Carroi 3-0
Nov 29 Penya Enc… vs Carroi 1-0
UE Santa Coloma Form 50%

No recent form data available

Key Analysis Factors
  • Penya Encarnada struggling (5L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Penya Encarnada to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 93
Penya Encarnada Power 0
UE Santa Coloma Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Penya Encarnada Position

-5

Position Gap

1

UE Santa Coloma Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 75%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.