Second League · Mar 25, 2026 13:30
Spartak Varna
PWR 37
Belasitsa
PWR 35
Spartak Varna
PWR 37
1-0
predicted
Belasitsa
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Spartak Varna to win (60% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (9%)2-0 (6%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (3%)3-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.5x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.76x
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No 46%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
29Attack0
55Defense100
Goals/G
0.80.0
Conc/G
1.30.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Spartak Varna
WLWLL
STABLE
Belasitsa
WLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/9 draws (33%) = HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.47
Spartak Varnavs
0.62
BelasitsaGoal Probability
Spartak Var…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Belasitsa
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Spartak Var…+1
Gap#15
Belasitsa
WR 27% 40 pts
WR 21% 38 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 48 | 40 |
| Belasitsa | 44 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | 69 | 38 |
Spartak Varna
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Spartak… v Etar Ve… | 1-0 |
| Mar 19 | Spartak… v Ludogor… | 1-5 |
| Mar 14 | Spartak… v Hebar 1… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Spartak… v CSKA 19… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Spartak… v Chernom… | 1-2 |
| Mar 06 | Spartak… v CSKA So… | 4-0 |
| Mar 03 | Spartak… v Montana | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Spartak… v Pirin B… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Spartak… v Arda Ka… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Spartak… v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
Belasitsa
6.0%
| Mar 21 | Belasit… v Ludogor… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Belasit… v Dunav R… | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Belasit… v Vihren | 3-1 |
| Mar 02 | Belasit… v CSKA So… | 2-6 |
| Feb 15 | Belasit… v Lokomot… | 3-3 |
| Jan 24 | Belasit… v CSKA So… | 0-0 |
| Nov 29 | Belasit… v FK Miny… | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Belasit… v Yantra … | 0-2 |
| Nov 15 | Belasit… v Fratria | 5-0 |
| Nov 08 | Belasit… v Sevlievo | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Aug 17, 2025 | Belasitsa | 1-1 | Spartak Varna |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Spartak Varna | 0-0 | Belasitsa |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Belasitsa | 2-0 | Spartak Varna |
| May 18, 2024 | Spartak Varna | 0-1 | Belasitsa |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Spartak Varna | 1-0 | Belasitsa |
| Nov 03, 2023 | Belasitsa | 0-2 | Spartak Varna |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Belasitsa | 2-0 | Spartak Varna |
| May 01, 2023 | Belasitsa | 3-1 | Spartak Varna |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Spartak Varna | 1-1 | Belasitsa |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
45%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Spartak Varna struggling (3L in last 5)
Belasitsa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.