Primera A · Mar 25, 2026 01:00
Fortaleza FC
PWR 35
Deportivo Pasto
PWR 35
Fortaleza FC
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Deportivo Pasto
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (15%)2-0 (15%)1-0 (10%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.43x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.81x
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fortaleza FC
LLWWD
DOWN
Deportivo Pasto
LWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Primera A
Expected Goals (xG)
3.01
Fortaleza FCvs
0.39
Deportivo PastoGoal Probability
Fortaleza FC
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Deportivo P…
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Fortaleza FC-12
Gap#2
Deportivo P…
WR 60% 14 pts
WR 40% 24 pts
Fortaleza FC
10.0%
| Mar 19 | Fortale… v Deporte… | 2-0 |
| Mar 16 | Fortale… v Junior | 2-1 |
| Mar 10 | Fortale… v Llanero… | 0-2 |
| Mar 05 | Fortale… v Jaguares | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Fortale… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Fortale… v Once Ca… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Fortale… v Once Ca… | 4-2 |
| Feb 16 | Fortale… v Chico | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Fortale… v Atlétic… | 4-1 |
| Feb 12 | Fortale… v Atlétic… | 3-0 |
Deportivo Pasto
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Deporti… v Alianza… | 1-0 |
| Mar 18 | Deporti… v Chico | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | Deporti… v Rionegr… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Deporti… v Cúcuta … | 0-2 |
| Mar 13 | Deporti… v Once Ca… | 4-2 |
| Mar 10 | Deporti… v America… | 2-0 |
| Mar 10 | Deporti… v Bucaram… | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Deporti… v Once Ca… | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Deporti… v Fortale… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Deporti… v Cúcuta … | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 01, 2026 | Deportivo Pas… | 1-1 | Fortaleza FC |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Deportivo Pas… | 0-0 | Fortaleza FC |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Fortaleza FC | 2-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Fortaleza FC | 0-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Deportivo Pas… | 1-1 | Fortaleza FC |
| Jun 03, 2025 | Deportivo Pas… | 0-0 | Fortaleza FC |
| May 04, 2025 | Deportivo Pas… | 1-0 | Fortaleza FC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Deportivo Pas… | 2-0 | Fortaleza FC |
| Feb 09, 2025 | Fortaleza FC | 1-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Deportivo Pas… | 3-2 | Fortaleza FC |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
30%
Market
47%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Deportivo Pasto struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.