Segunda División · Mar 28, 2026 20:00
Albacete
PWR 33
Castellón
PWR 41
Albacete
PWR 33
2-2
predicted
Castellón
PWR 41
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Albacete Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
38Attack48
58Defense69
Goals/G
1.31.6
Conc/G
1.41.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Albacete
WLDDL
STABLE
Castellón
DLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Similar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Albacetevs
1.05
CastellónGoal Probability
Albacete
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Castellón
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Albacete-4
Gap#7
Castellón
WR 40% 42 pts
WR 31% 49 pts
Albacete
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Albacete v Santand… | 0-4 |
| Mar 16 | Albacete v Las Pal… | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Albacete v Huesca | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Albacete v Almería | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Albacete v Malaga | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Albacete v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Albacete v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| Feb 03 | Albacete v FC Barc… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Albacete v Zaragoza | 2-0 |
| Jan 24 | Albacete v Vallado… | 0-1 |
Castellón
4.0%
| Mar 23 | Castell… v Cultura… | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Castell… v Sportin… | 4-1 |
| Mar 07 | Castell… v Real So… | 4-2 |
| Feb 28 | Castell… v Santand… | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Castell… v Las Pal… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Castell… v Deporti… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Castell… v Vallado… | 0-4 |
| Feb 01 | Castell… v FC Ando… | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Castell… v Zaragoza | 0-0 |
| Jan 16 | Castell… v Levante | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 19, 2025 | Castellón | 0-1 | Albacete |
| Apr 04, 2025 | Castellón | 2-2 | Albacete |
| Dec 08, 2024 | Albacete | 0-0 | Castellón |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Castellón struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.