Liga Premier Serie A · Mar 29, 2026 21:30
Calor de San Pedro
PWR 35
Real Apodaca
PWR 35
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Calor de San Pedro
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Real Apodaca Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (17%)2-0 (15%)1-0 (10%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)0-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No
No 24%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Real Apodaca
DWWWD
STABLE
Calor de San P…
DLDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.22
Real Apodacavs
0.29
Calor de San P…Goal Probability
Real Apodaca
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Calor de Sa…
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Real Apodaca+6
Gap#7
Calor de Sa…
WR 92% 60 pts
WR 36% 35 pts
Real Apodaca
16.0%
| Mar 24 | Real Ap… v Zitacua… | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Real Ap… v Atletic… | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Real Ap… v Cordobés | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Real Ap… v Deporti… | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Real Ap… v Lobos U… | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Real Ap… v Gavilan… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Real Ap… v Chilpan… | 4-2 |
| Jan 31 | Real Ap… v FC Sant… | 3-0 |
| Jan 25 | Real Ap… v Zacatep… | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Real Ap… v Sportin… | 2-2 |
Calor de San P…
12.0%
| Mar 22 | Calor d… v Chilpan… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Calor d… v FC Sant… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Calor d… v Zacatep… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Calor d… v Ciervos | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Calor d… v Correca… | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Calor d… v Zitacua… | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Calor d… v Atletic… | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | Calor d… v Cordobés | 2-2 |
| Jan 10 | Calor d… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | Calor d… v Lobos U… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 16, 2025 | Calor de San … | 1-2 | Real Apodaca |
| Mar 06, 2024 | Real Apodaca | 2-2 | Calor de San … |
| Oct 05, 2023 | Calor de San … | 2-1 | Real Apodaca |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
72%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Real Apodaca in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.