Primera C · Mar 28, 2026 21:00
Atlético Atlas
PWR 39
Deportivo Madryn
PWR 36
Atlético Atlas
PWR 39
1-1
predicted
Deportivo Madryn
PWR 36
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (25%)0-0 (24%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (10%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
18%
Under 2.5
82%
82%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
1%
Team Comparison
39Attack25
48Defense56
Goals/G
1.10.7
Conc/G
1.51.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atlético Atlas
DDDLD
STABLE
Deportivo Madr…
WWLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Atlético Atlasvs
0.39
Deportivo Madr…Goal Probability
Atlético At…
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Deportivo M…
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (42%)1-0 (22%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (8%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 1.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Atlético At…-6
Gap#5
Deportivo M…
WR 30% 66 pts
WR 24% 78 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Atlas | 56 | 17 | 15 | 24 | 62 | 84 | 66 |
| Deportivo Mad… | 79 | 19 | 21 | 39 | 57 | 100 | 78 |
Atlético Atlas
8.0%
| Mar 20 | Atlétic… v Sacachi… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Atlétic… v Tallere… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Atlétic… v Claypole | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Atlétic… v Central… | 0-2 |
| Oct 19 | Atlétic… v Mercedes | 1-1 |
| Oct 13 | Atlétic… v Mercedes | 1-2 |
| Oct 06 | Atlétic… v Defenso… | 2-0 |
| Sep 28 | Atlétic… v Defenso… | 1-1 |
| Sep 15 | Atlétic… v Lujan | 1-1 |
| Sep 07 | Atlétic… v Argenti… | 1-0 |
Deportivo Madr…
12.0%
| Mar 22 | Deporti… v CA Estu… | 3-0 |
| Mar 21 | Deporti… v Central… | 0-1 |
| Mar 20 | Deporti… v San Lor… | 5-0 |
| Mar 16 | Deporti… v Yupanqui | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Deporti… v Berazat… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Deporti… v All Boys | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Deporti… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Deporti… v San Mar… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Deporti… v Godoy C… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Deporti… v Victori… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jun 23, 2025 | Deportivo Mad… | 2-1 | Atlético Atlas |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Atlético Atlas | 3-2 | Deportivo Mad… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.