First League · Mar 24, 2026 14:00
Noah II
PWR 35
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Araks Ararat
PWR 35
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Araks Ararat Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)2-1 (4%)2-0 (4%)3-2 (3%)2-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.91x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.53x
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 65%
Over 3.5
67%
67%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Noah II
WLLWL
STABLE
Araks Ararat
WLDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Noah IIvs
1.06
Araks AraratGoal Probability
Noah II
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Araks Ararat
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)4-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-2 (5%)3-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 49% | 52% | - |
| 5.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Noah II-2
Gap#9
Araks Ararat
WR 30% 20 pts
WR 30% 23 pts
Noah II
8.0%
| Mar 15 | Noah II v Ararat … | 0-1 |
| Mar 09 | Noah II v Sardara… | 0-4 |
| Mar 03 | Noah II v Pyunik … | 2-1 |
| Nov 25 | Noah II v Lernayi… | 8-1 |
| Nov 19 | Noah II v BKMA II | 3-0 |
| Nov 15 | Noah II v Araks A… | 2-0 |
| Nov 09 | Noah II v Mika | 4-0 |
| Nov 04 | Noah II v Shirak … | 2-4 |
| Oct 22 | Noah II v Banants… | 1-1 |
| Oct 16 | Noah II v Van II | 6-1 |
Araks Ararat
6.0%
| Mar 17 | Araks A… v Shirak … | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | Araks A… v Banants… | 2-0 |
| Mar 03 | Araks A… v Van II | 2-2 |
| Nov 25 | Araks A… v Bentoni… | 4-2 |
| Nov 19 | Araks A… v Syunik | 0-1 |
| Nov 15 | Araks A… v Noah II | 2-0 |
| Nov 10 | Araks A… v Andranik | 0-1 |
| Nov 04 | Araks A… v Ararat-… | 0-2 |
| Oct 28 | Araks A… v Shirak | 0-4 |
| Oct 22 | Araks A… v Hayq | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 15, 2025 | Araks Ararat | 2-0 | Noah II |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
31%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Noah II struggling (3L in last 5)
Araks Ararat struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.