AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
3. Liga Aug 31, 2025

Rot-Weiß Essen

Home
VS
17:30

Alemannia Aachen

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Rot-Weiß Essen Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Alemannia Aachen Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.43 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.7 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rot-Weiß Essen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Alemannia Aachen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (12%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Rot-Weiß Essen Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 22 Rot-Weiß … vs SV Wehen 3-4
Aug 18 Rot-Weiß … vs Borussia … 0-1
Aug 09 Rot-Weiß … vs Havelse 1-1
Aug 01 Rot-Weiß … vs TSV 1860 … 1-1
May 17 Rot-Weiß … vs Stuttgart… 1-1
May 11 Rot-Weiß … vs VfL Osnab… 3-1
May 03 Rot-Weiß … vs TSV 1860 … 1-3
Apr 26 Rot-Weiß … vs FC Saarbr… 0-3
Apr 19 Rot-Weiß … vs SV Sandha… 0-2
Mar 28 Rot-Weiß … vs Verl 3-0
Alemannia Aachen Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Alemannia… vs TSV 1860 … 0-2
Aug 09 Alemannia… vs Hoffenhei… 2-4
Aug 02 Alemannia… vs VfL Osnab… 0-0
May 17 Alemannia… vs SV Wehen 2-1
May 10 Alemannia… vs FC Saarbr… 4-2
May 03 Alemannia… vs Stuttgart… 2-1
Apr 27 Alemannia… vs VfL Osnab… 1-0
Apr 19 Alemannia… vs TSV 1860 … 2-1
Mar 16 Alemannia… vs Hansa Ros… 2-1
Feb 14 Alemannia… vs FC Viktor… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Alemannia Aachen struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Rot-Weiß Essen to win (56% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 56% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rot-Weiß Essen Power 39
Alemannia Aachen Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Rot-Weiß Essen Position

+11

Position Gap

15

Alemannia Aachen Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 42%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.