AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
3. Liga Aug 30, 2025

Energie Cottbus

Home
VS
12:00

FC Ingolstadt 04

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Energie Cottbus Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
FC Ingolstadt 04 Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.90 - 1.05
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.1 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Energie Cottbus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
FC Ingolstadt 04 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Energie Cottbus Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Energie C… vs Hoffenhei… 4-1
Aug 16 Energie C… vs Hannover … 1-0
Aug 08 Energie C… vs FC Schwei… 0-2
Aug 02 Energie C… vs FC Saarbr… 3-3
May 17 Energie C… vs FC Ingols… 1-4
May 10 Energie C… vs Hansa Ros… 1-3
May 04 Energie C… vs Waldhof M… 2-4
Apr 26 Energie C… vs SpVgg Unt… 1-1
Apr 19 Energie C… vs FC Viktor… 1-0
Mar 08 Energie C… vs FC Saarbr… 2-1
FC Ingolstadt 04 Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 FC Ingols… vs Hansa Ros… 1-1
Aug 24 FC Ingols… vs Turbine P… 2-0
Aug 10 FC Ingols… vs Stuttgart… 2-1
Aug 02 FC Ingols… vs Jahn Rege… 1-1
May 17 FC Ingols… vs Energie C… 1-4
May 10 FC Ingols… vs SV Wehen 2-3
May 04 FC Ingols… vs Erzgebirg… 1-0
Apr 27 FC Ingols… vs Arminia B… 0-3
Apr 19 FC Ingols… vs VfL Osnab… 1-0
Mar 08 FC Ingols… vs Hansa Ros… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 17, 2025 Energie Cottbus 1 - 4 FC Ingolstadt 04 3. Liga
Dec 20, 2024 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 - 1 Energie Cottbus 3. Liga
Final Verdict

PRO: Energie Cottbus to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 3-2 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Energie Cottbus Power 35
FC Ingolstadt 04 Power 49
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Energie Cottbus Position

+9

Position Gap

10

FC Ingolstadt 04 Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.