AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
3. Liga Aug 30, 2025

Verl

Home
VS
12:00

MSV Duisburg

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Verl Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
MSV Duisburg Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 4.50 - 1.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Verl Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
MSV Duisburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Verl Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Verl vs Stuttgart… 1-1
Aug 09 Verl vs SV Wehen 2-2
Aug 02 Verl vs Waldhof M… 2-2
May 17 Verl vs VfL Osnab… 0-3
May 10 Verl vs TSV 1860 … 2-2
May 03 Verl vs FC Saarbr… 4-3
Apr 26 Verl vs Erzgebirg… 5-1
Apr 19 Verl vs Stuttgart… 1-1
Mar 28 Verl vs Rot-Weiß … 3-0
Feb 22 Verl vs FC Viktor… 1-1
MSV Duisburg Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 MSV Duisb… vs SSV Ulm 1… 2-1
Aug 10 MSV Duisb… vs Jahn Rege… 0-4
Aug 02 MSV Duisb… vs Stuttgart… 2-1
May 20 MSV Duisb… vs FC Nurnbe… 2-1
May 18 MSV Duisb… vs Dynamo Dr… 4-0
May 12 MSV Duisb… vs Erzgebirg… 2-2
May 11 MSV Duisb… vs Bayer Lev… 1-3
May 05 MSV Duisb… vs Werder Br… 4-2
May 03 MSV Duisb… vs VfB Lubeck 5-3
Apr 27 MSV Duisb… vs SV Sandha… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • MSV Duisburg in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

ELITE: Verl to win (91% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 91% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 70 vs 14
Verl Power 70
MSV Duisburg Power 14
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Verl Position

+1

Position Gap

3

MSV Duisburg Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.