AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 2 Oct 04, 2025

Montpellier HSC

Home
VS
18:00

Saint-Étienne

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Montpellier HSC Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Saint-Étienne Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 43%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.07 - 1.61
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Montpellier HSC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Saint-Étienne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 0-1 (11%) 1-2 (10%) 0-2 (9%) 1-0 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Montpellier HSC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Montpelli… vs Laval 0-1
Sep 23 Montpelli… vs Boulogne 1-3
Sep 20 Montpelli… vs Bastia 2-0
Sep 15 Montpelli… vs Guingamp 1-0
Aug 29 Montpelli… vs Amiens 1-1
Aug 23 Montpelli… vs Estac Tro… 1-0
Aug 18 Montpelli… vs Le Mans 1-2
Aug 09 Montpelli… vs RED Star … 1-1
Jul 26 Montpelli… vs Bastia 0-1
May 17 Montpelli… vs Nantes 3-0
Saint-Étienne Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Saint-Éti… vs Guingamp 2-3
Sep 23 Saint-Éti… vs Amiens 0-1
Sep 20 Saint-Éti… vs Reims 3-2
Sep 13 Saint-Éti… vs Clermont … 1-2
Aug 30 Saint-Éti… vs Grenoble 1-1
Aug 23 Saint-Éti… vs Ajaccio 0-1
Aug 16 Saint-Éti… vs Rodez 4-0
Aug 09 Saint-Éti… vs Laval 3-3
Mar 16 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 0-2
Nov 23 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Saint-Étienne in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2025 Montpellier HSC 0 - 2 Saint-Étienne Ligue 1
Nov 23, 2024 Saint-Étienne 1 - 0 Montpellier HSC Ligue 1
Jul 31, 2024 Montpellier HSC 1 - 2 Saint-Étienne Friendlies Clu…
Feb 05, 2022 Saint-Étienne 3 - 1 Montpellier HSC Ligue 1
Sep 12, 2021 Montpellier HSC 2 - 0 Saint-Étienne Ligue 1
May 02, 2021 Montpellier HSC 1 - 2 Saint-Étienne Ligue 1
Nov 01, 2020 Saint-Étienne 0 - 1 Montpellier HSC Ligue 1
Final Verdict

ELITE: Montpellier HSC to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 90
  • Power: 36 vs 0
Montpellier HSC Power 37
Saint-Étienne Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Montpellier HSC Position

-4

Position Gap

5

Saint-Étienne Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.