AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 2 Sep 23, 2025

Guingamp

Home
VS
18:30

Dunkerque

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Guingamp Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Dunkerque Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.83 - 1.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 1.2
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guingamp Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Dunkerque Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Guingamp Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Guingamp vs Estac Tro… 5-2
Sep 15 Guingamp vs Montpelli… 1-0
Aug 30 Guingamp vs Bastia 1-3
Aug 23 Guingamp vs RED Star … 0-4
Aug 16 Guingamp vs Reims 1-0
Aug 09 Guingamp vs Le Mans 3-3
May 14 Guingamp vs Dunkerque 1-0
May 10 Guingamp vs Pau FC 1-3
May 07 Guingamp vs Saint-Éti… 3-2
May 02 Guingamp vs Bastia 2-2
Dunkerque Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 19 Dunkerque vs Le Mans 2-2
Sep 13 Dunkerque vs Grenoble 1-0
Aug 29 Dunkerque vs Estac Tro… 2-0
Aug 22 Dunkerque vs Nancy 1-3
Aug 16 Dunkerque vs Annecy 2-2
Aug 09 Dunkerque vs Clermont … 2-2
Jul 19 Dunkerque vs Lens 5-1
May 17 Dunkerque vs Metz 1-0
May 14 Dunkerque vs Guingamp 1-0
May 10 Dunkerque vs Red Star 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guingamp struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 14, 2025 Dunkerque 1 - 0 Guingamp Ligue 2
Apr 07, 2025 Dunkerque 3 - 1 Guingamp Ligue 2
Jan 04, 2025 Guingamp 1 - 1 Dunkerque Ligue 2
Apr 13, 2024 Dunkerque 0 - 1 Guingamp Pro League
Apr 13, 2024 Dunkerque 0 - 1 Guingamp Ligue 2
Aug 12, 2023 Guingamp 0 - 1 Dunkerque Ligue 2
May 07, 2022 Dunkerque 1 - 3 Guingamp Ligue 2
Dec 21, 2021 Guingamp 2 - 1 Dunkerque Ligue 2
Feb 05, 2021 Guingamp 0 - 0 Dunkerque Ligue 2
Oct 03, 2020 Dunkerque 1 - 0 Guingamp Ligue 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guingamp Power 35
Dunkerque Power 41
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Guingamp Position

-1

Position Gap

6

Dunkerque Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.