AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 2 Sep 12, 2025

Pau FC

Home
VS
18:00

RED Star FC 93

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Pau FC Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
RED Star FC 93 Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.19 - 1.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.7
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pau FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
RED Star FC 93 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (4%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Pau FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 29 Pau FC vs Nancy 2-2
Aug 25 Pau FC vs Reims 2-0
Aug 15 Pau FC vs Bastia 1-1
Aug 09 Pau FC vs Annecy 2-0
May 10 Pau FC vs Guingamp 1-3
May 02 Pau FC vs Amiens 4-2
Apr 26 Pau FC vs Metz 2-1
Apr 18 Pau FC vs Ajaccio 1-1
Apr 11 Pau FC vs Clermont 2-2
Apr 05 Pau FC vs Lorient 5-0
RED Star FC 93 Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 29 RED Star … vs Annecy 1-0
Aug 23 RED Star … vs Guingamp 0-4
Aug 15 RED Star … vs Amiens 1-3
Aug 09 RED Star … vs Montpelli… 1-1
Jan 17 RED Star … vs Pau FC 1-3
Nov 22 RED Star … vs Pau FC 4-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 17, 2025 RED Star FC 93 1 - 3 Pau FC Ligue 2
Nov 22, 2024 Pau FC 4 - 1 RED Star FC 93 Ligue 2
Final Verdict

ELITE: Pau FC to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 89
  • Power: 34 vs 0
Pau FC Power 34
RED Star FC 93 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Pau FC Position

-6

Position Gap

4

RED Star FC 93 Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 58%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.