AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Brasileiro U17 Sep 03, 2025

Botafogo

Home
VS
18:00

Fluminense

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Botafogo Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Fluminense Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.51 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.4
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Fluminense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Botafogo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Botafogo vs Anápolis 2-0
Aug 30 Botafogo vs RB Bragan… 4-1
Aug 30 Botafogo vs Goiás 2-3
Aug 28 Botafogo vs Vasco DA … 1-1
Aug 27 Botafogo vs Santos 5-3
Aug 25 Botafogo vs Vila Nova 2-0
Aug 24 Botafogo vs Juventude 1-3
Aug 24 Botafogo vs Tombense 1-0
Aug 20 Botafogo vs RB Bragan… 0-2
Aug 18 Botafogo vs Ypiranga-… 2-2
Fluminense Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Fluminense vs Santos 0-0
Aug 28 Fluminense vs Bahia 1-0
Aug 27 Fluminense vs Atlético … 2-1
Aug 23 Fluminense vs RB Bragan… 4-2
Aug 20 Fluminense vs Fortaleza 0-0
Aug 16 Fluminense vs Grêmio Pr… 2-1
Aug 16 Fluminense vs Fortaleza 2-1
Aug 12 Fluminense vs Atlético … 1-2
Aug 10 Fluminense vs Bahia 3-3
Aug 09 Fluminense vs Oeste 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 27, 2025 Botafogo 2 - 0 Fluminense Serie A
Feb 09, 2025 Botafogo 4 - 1 Fluminense Paraibano
Jan 30, 2025 Botafogo 2 - 1 Fluminense Carioca - 1
Sep 21, 2024 Fluminense 0 - 1 Botafogo Serie A
Jun 11, 2024 Botafogo 1 - 0 Fluminense Serie A
Mar 03, 2024 Fluminense 2 - 4 Botafogo Carioca - 1
Jan 31, 2024 Fluminense 0 - 0 Botafogo Paraibano
Oct 08, 2023 Fluminense 0 - 2 Botafogo Serie A
May 20, 2023 Botafogo 1 - 0 Fluminense Serie A
Apr 29, 2023 Botafogo 2 - 0 Fluminense Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Botafogo to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Botafogo Power 0
Fluminense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.