AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B May 09, 2025

Athletico Paranaense

Home
VS
00:35

Chapecoense

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Athletico Paranaense Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Chapecoense Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 64%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.04 - 0.67
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Athletico Paranaense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Chapecoense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (18%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Athletico Paranaense Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Athletico… vs Botafogo 1-4
May 04 Athletico… vs Novorizon… 1-0
May 01 Athletico… vs Brusque 0-0
Apr 27 Athletico… vs Amazonas 1-1
Apr 25 Athletico… vs Novorizon… 2-1
Apr 22 Athletico… vs Cuiabá 1-1
Apr 20 Athletico… vs CRB 2-0
Apr 18 Athletico… vs Ferroviár… 2-0
Apr 15 Athletico… vs Cuiabá 2-1
Apr 13 Athletico… vs Botafogo 1-1
Chapecoense Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Chapecoen… vs Criciúma 2-1
Apr 26 Chapecoen… vs Vila Nova 1-0
Apr 20 Chapecoen… vs Athletic … 1-0
Apr 16 Chapecoen… vs Paysandu … 0-2
Apr 12 Chapecoen… vs Corinthia… 1-2
Apr 05 Chapecoen… vs CRB 1-0
Mar 22 Chapecoen… vs Avaí 1-1
Mar 15 Chapecoen… vs Avaí 2-2
Mar 09 Chapecoen… vs Joinville 2-1
Feb 22 Chapecoen… vs Joinville 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Chapecoense in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Athletico Paranaense to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Athletico Paranaense Power 0
Chapecoense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.