AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Oct 17, 2025

Waalwijk

Home
VS
16:30

Willem II

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Waalwijk Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Willem II Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.78 - 0.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.8
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Waalwijk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Willem II Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Waalwijk Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 Waalwijk vs Den Bosch 2-2
Sep 29 Waalwijk vs Jong Ajax 2-1
Sep 26 Waalwijk vs ADO Den H… 1-3
Sep 19 Waalwijk vs Roda 1-4
Sep 16 Waalwijk vs Vitesse 1-1
Sep 12 Waalwijk vs Jong Utre… 2-0
Aug 30 Waalwijk vs Almere Ci… 2-0
Aug 22 Waalwijk vs FC Eindho… 1-0
Aug 15 Waalwijk vs Helmond S… 1-1
Aug 11 Waalwijk vs Jong AZ 2-3
Willem II Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 Willem II vs Roda 1-2
Sep 30 Willem II vs Helmond S… 1-0
Sep 27 Willem II vs Vitesse 1-2
Sep 19 Willem II vs Jong Ajax 1-0
Sep 12 Willem II vs De Graafs… 1-1
Sep 06 Willem II vs Cambuur 2-2
Aug 29 Willem II vs Jong Utre… 2-1
Aug 22 Willem II vs Almere Ci… 0-1
Aug 17 Willem II vs FC Eindho… 0-1
Aug 10 Willem II vs ADO Den H… 5-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Willem II in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 26, 2025 Waalwijk 2 - 0 Willem II Eredivisie
Sep 15, 2024 Willem II 3 - 0 Waalwijk Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Waalwijk Power 0
Willem II Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Waalwijk Position

+1

Position Gap

8

Willem II Position
Home Win Rate: 39%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.