AI Match Insights
Eerste Divisie Sep 29, 2025
Jong PSV
HomeVS
18:00
MVV Maastricht
AwayAI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Jong PSV Win
Draw
MVV Maastricht Win
Home Win
(55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
90%
Market
50%
Combined: 56%
Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.69 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2
Position gap: 15 places
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jong PSV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
MVV Maastricht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%)
2-0 (22%)
0-0 (15%)
3-0 (12%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
Under 2.5 Goals
71%
Jong PSV Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | Jong PSV vs Cambuur | 5-3 |
| Sep 22 | Jong PSV vs Den Bosch | 3-0 |
| Sep 15 | Jong PSV vs Roda | 0-1 |
| Sep 12 | Jong PSV vs Almere Ci… | 2-4 |
| Aug 29 | Jong PSV vs Jong AZ | 1-0 |
| Aug 23 | Jong PSV vs Dordrecht | 1-2 |
| Aug 15 | Jong PSV vs VVV Venlo | 0-2 |
| Aug 11 | Jong PSV vs Emmen | 3-1 |
| May 09 | Jong PSV vs Utrecht | 3-1 |
| May 02 | Jong PSV vs Excelsior | 5-0 |
MVV Maastricht Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | MVV Maast… vs Emmen | 1-0 |
| Sep 21 | MVV Maast… vs VVV Venlo | 1-0 |
| Sep 16 | MVV Maast… vs Den Bosch | 2-4 |
| Sep 12 | MVV Maast… vs Cambuur | 0-1 |
| Aug 29 | MVV Maast… vs Jong Ajax | 0-0 |
| Aug 22 | MVV Maast… vs De Graafs… | 0-1 |
| Aug 16 | MVV Maast… vs Dordrecht | 0-1 |
| Aug 08 | MVV Maast… vs FC OSS | 4-0 |
| May 09 | MVV Maast… vs Cambuur | 1-0 |
| May 02 | MVV Maast… vs Jong AZ | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Jong PSV in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- MVV Maastricht struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2025 | Jong PSV | 3 - 2 | MVV Maastricht | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 30, 2024 | MVV Maastricht | 3 - 2 | Jong PSV | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 19, 2024 | MVV Maastricht | 3 - 3 | Jong PSV | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 06, 2023 | Jong PSV | 2 - 3 | MVV Maastricht | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 24, 2023 | Jong PSV | 0 - 1 | MVV Maastricht | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 14, 2022 | MVV Maastricht | 1 - 1 | Jong PSV | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 25, 2022 | Jong PSV | 2 - 2 | MVV Maastricht | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 26, 2021 | MVV Maastricht | 1 - 2 | Jong PSV | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 05, 2021 | Jong PSV | 3 - 1 | MVV Maastricht | Eerste Divisie |
Final Verdict
MASTER: Jong PSV to win (83% confidence)
MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0
83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 15
Jong PSV Power
0
MVV Maastricht Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Jong PSV Position+15
Position Gap18
MVV Maastricht Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 23%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.