AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Sep 15, 2025

Dordrecht

Home
VS
18:00

Jong AZ

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Dordrecht Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Jong AZ Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.80 - 1.53
Key Insights
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dordrecht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Jong AZ Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Dordrecht Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Dordrecht vs Kozakken … 0-1
Sep 12 Dordrecht vs Den Bosch 3-3
Sep 06 Dordrecht vs Ijsselmee… 1-3
Aug 30 Dordrecht vs Quick Boys 0-6
Aug 29 Dordrecht vs FC OSS 0-3
Aug 23 Dordrecht vs HHC 3-0
Aug 23 Dordrecht vs Jong PSV 1-2
Aug 16 Dordrecht vs GVVV Veen… 1-2
Aug 16 Dordrecht vs MVV Maast… 0-1
Aug 09 Dordrecht vs ASWH 4-1
Jong AZ Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 12 Jong AZ vs Vitesse 4-0
Aug 29 Jong AZ vs Jong PSV 1-0
Aug 25 Jong AZ vs Cambuur 0-1
Aug 18 Jong AZ vs Jong Ajax 4-1
Aug 11 Jong AZ vs Waalwijk 2-3
May 09 Jong AZ vs Excelsior 2-1
May 09 Jong AZ vs FC OSS 0-0
May 02 Jong AZ vs MVV Maast… 1-0
May 02 Jong AZ vs PSV Eindh… 2-4
Apr 28 Jong AZ vs Den Bosch 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Jong AZ struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 04, 2025 Dordrecht 3 - 0 Jong AZ Eerste Divisie
Sep 30, 2024 Jong AZ 0 - 1 Dordrecht Eerste Divisie
Jan 29, 2024 Jong AZ 2 - 2 Dordrecht Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dordrecht to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dordrecht Power 0
Jong AZ Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Dordrecht Position

+6

Position Gap

15

Jong AZ Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.