AI Match Insights
EFL Trophy Oct 07, 2025
Stevenage
HomeVS
18:00
Burnley
AwayAI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
Stevenage Win
Draw
Burnley Win
Home Win
(67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 3.44 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Stevenage Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Burnley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%)
2-0 (16%)
1-0 (9%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
Stevenage Form 18.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 | Stevenage vs Bolton | 2-0 |
| Sep 27 | Stevenage vs Leyton Or… | 2-3 |
| Sep 20 | Stevenage vs Exeter Ci… | 2-1 |
| Sep 13 | Stevenage vs Mansfield… | 1-1 |
| Sep 02 | Stevenage vs AFC Wimbl… | 1-5 |
| Aug 30 | Stevenage vs Wycombe | 1-0 |
| Aug 23 | Stevenage vs Huddersfi… | 1-0 |
| Aug 19 | Stevenage vs Port Vale | 1-2 |
| Aug 16 | Stevenage vs Northampt… | 2-0 |
| Aug 12 | Stevenage vs Charlton | 3-1 |
Burnley Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 05 | Burnley vs Aston Vil… | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | Burnley vs Tranmere … | 3-3 |
| Oct 04 | Burnley vs Wycombe | 2-2 |
| Sep 30 | Burnley vs Newport C… | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | Burnley vs Swindon | 2-0 |
| Sep 27 | Burnley vs Mancheste… | 5-1 |
| Sep 27 | Burnley vs Port Vale | 0-2 |
| Sep 23 | Burnley vs Brighton | 0-6 |
| Sep 23 | Burnley vs Cardiff | 1-2 |
| Sep 20 | Burnley vs Chesterfi… | 2-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Stevenage in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
- Burnley struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Burnley | 0 - 1 | Stevenage | League One |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Stevenage | 3 - 0 | Burnley | League One |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Stevenage | 3 - 0 | Burnley | Pro League |
| Apr 09, 2024 | Stevenage | 2 - 1 | Burnley | Pro League |
| Apr 09, 2024 | Stevenage | 2 - 1 | Burnley | League One |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Burnley | 2 - 1 | Stevenage | Pro League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Burnley | 2 - 1 | Stevenage | League One |
Final Verdict
ELITE: Stevenage to win (88% confidence)
ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0
88% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 98
Stevenage Power
36
Burnley Power
25
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.