AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Oct 04, 2025

Newington Youth

Home
VS
14:00

Ards

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Newington Youth Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Ards Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.38 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newington Youth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Ards Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (12%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Newington Youth Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Newington… vs Warrenpoi… 3-0
Sep 20 Newington… vs Institute 0-1
Sep 16 Newington… vs Armagh Ci… 2-4
Sep 13 Newington… vs Limavady … 0-0
Sep 05 Newington… vs Ballinama… 4-1
Aug 30 Newington… vs Annagh Un… 2-1
Aug 23 Newington… vs H&W Welde… 3-2
Aug 16 Newington… vs Loughgall 2-3
Aug 09 Newington… vs Queen's U… 0-0
Apr 12 Newington… vs Ballinama… 2-1
Ards Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Ards vs Loughgall 1-1
Sep 20 Ards vs Armagh Ci… 2-1
Sep 16 Ards vs Queen's U… 2-3
Sep 13 Ards vs Warrenpoi… 2-0
Sep 06 Ards vs H&W Welde… 1-2
Aug 29 Ards vs Dundela 1-0
Aug 23 Ards vs Annagh Un… 1-2
Aug 16 Ards vs Institute 2-2
Aug 09 Ards vs Ballinama… 3-1
Apr 26 Ards vs Annagh Un… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Newington Youth in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 22, 2025 Ards 1 - 1 Newington Youth Championship
Nov 02, 2024 Newington Youth 2 - 2 Ards Championship
Aug 17, 2024 Ards 3 - 2 Newington Youth Championship
Apr 13, 2024 Ards 1 - 1 Newington Youth Championship
Feb 27, 2024 Newington Youth 1 - 0 Ards Championship
Dec 02, 2023 Newington Youth 4 - 1 Ards Championship
Aug 05, 2023 Ards 1 - 3 Newington Youth Championship
Mar 14, 2023 Newington Youth 2 - 2 Ards Championship
Dec 10, 2022 Ards 2 - 1 Newington Youth Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Newington Youth Power 0
Ards Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Newington Youth Position

+3

Position Gap

9

Ards Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 31%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.