AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Sep 19, 2025

Bucaramanga

Home
VS
23:00

Deportes Tolima

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Bucaramanga Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Deportes Tolima Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.16 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Deportes Tolima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (26%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
Bucaramanga Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Bucaraman… vs America d… 0-0
Sep 14 Bucaraman… vs Atlético … 0-1
Sep 10 Bucaraman… vs Once Cald… 0-0
Sep 06 Bucaraman… vs Alianza P… 3-1
Sep 03 Bucaraman… vs America d… 2-0
Aug 30 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 0-1
Aug 27 Bucaraman… vs America d… 1-0
Aug 25 Bucaraman… vs Rionegro … 4-0
Aug 18 Bucaraman… vs Junior 2-1
Aug 10 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 2-1
Deportes Tolima Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 15 Deportes … vs Chico 4-0
Sep 06 Deportes … vs Llaneros 1-0
Aug 31 Deportes … vs Fortaleza… 1-1
Aug 24 Deportes … vs Once Cald… 0-1
Aug 17 Deportes … vs Millonari… 3-1
Aug 14 Deportes … vs Real Soac… 1-0
Aug 09 Deportes … vs America d… 0-1
Aug 02 Deportes … vs Atlético … 0-0
Jul 30 Deportes … vs Real Soac… 1-2
Jul 25 Deportes … vs Deportivo… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportes Tolima in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 06, 2025 Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Bucaramanga Primera A
Sep 01, 2024 Bucaramanga 0 - 2 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Feb 22, 2024 Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Sep 02, 2023 Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Mar 21, 2023 Bucaramanga 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Aug 01, 2022 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Feb 06, 2022 Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Bucaramanga Primera A
Nov 15, 2021 Bucaramanga 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bucaramanga to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bucaramanga Power 0
Deportes Tolima Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Bucaramanga Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Deportes Tolima Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.