AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Sep 11, 2025

Millonarios

Home
VS
00:30

Deportivo Pasto

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Millonarios Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Deportivo Pasto Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.39 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Millonarios Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 07 Millonari… vs Santa Fe 0-0
Sep 03 Millonari… vs Envigado 1-0
Aug 30 Millonari… vs Rionegro … 1-2
Aug 27 Millonari… vs Real Cart… 2-1
Aug 24 Millonari… vs Junior 3-0
Aug 21 Millonari… vs Union Mag… 1-2
Aug 17 Millonari… vs Deportes … 3-1
Aug 09 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 3-3
Aug 03 Millonari… vs Independi… 1-0
Aug 01 Millonari… vs Real Cart… 3-1
Deportivo Pasto Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 07 Deportivo… vs America d… 0-0
Sep 06 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 1-0
Sep 05 Deportivo… vs Chico 2-0
Sep 03 Deportivo… vs Real Soac… 2-1
Aug 31 Deportivo… vs La Equida… 0-0
Aug 31 Deportivo… vs Independi… 1-3
Aug 30 Deportivo… vs Bucaraman… 0-1
Aug 29 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 1-2
Aug 27 Deportivo… vs Real Soac… 4-3
Aug 25 Deportivo… vs Chico 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 09, 2025 Millonarios 3 - 3 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Feb 01, 2025 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 1 Millonarios Primera A
Dec 09, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Nov 20, 2024 Millonarios 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 04, 2024 Millonarios 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Apr 15, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 2 - 3 Millonarios Primera A
Jul 16, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Mar 23, 2023 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 14, 2022 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Jul 09, 2022 Millonarios 1 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Millonarios Power 0
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Millonarios Position

-17

Position Gap

1

Deportivo Pasto Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.