AI Match Insights

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Primera A Aug 30, 2025

Deportivo Pasto

Home
VS
23:20

Bucaramanga

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Deportivo Pasto Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Bucaramanga Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.66 - 1.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 1.9
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%
Deportivo Pasto Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 29 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 1-2
Aug 27 Deportivo… vs Real Soac… 4-3
Aug 25 Deportivo… vs Chico 0-0
Aug 23 Deportivo… vs Envigado 1-1
Aug 23 Deportivo… vs Llaneros 2-1
Aug 19 Deportivo… vs Independi… 1-2
Aug 15 Deportivo… vs Envigado 0-1
Aug 14 Deportivo… vs America d… 2-1
Aug 14 Deportivo… vs Union Mag… 3-1
Aug 10 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 0-0
Bucaramanga Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 27 Bucaraman… vs America d… 1-0
Aug 25 Bucaraman… vs Rionegro … 4-0
Aug 18 Bucaraman… vs Junior 2-1
Aug 10 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 2-1
Aug 03 Bucaraman… vs Alianza P… 1-3
Jul 28 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 2-3
Jul 13 Bucaraman… vs Chico 1-1
Jun 14 Bucaraman… vs Popayan 0-1
Jun 10 Bucaraman… vs Chico 3-2
Jun 07 Bucaraman… vs Quindio 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bucaramanga in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 28, 2025 Bucaramanga 2 - 3 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Jun 02, 2025 Bucaramanga 3 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Copa Colombia
May 25, 2025 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Oct 24, 2024 Bucaramanga 0 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Copa Colombia
Oct 18, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Bucaramanga Copa Colombia
Aug 24, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Bucaramanga Primera A
Feb 20, 2024 Bucaramanga 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Sep 21, 2023 Bucaramanga 0 - 2 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Apr 13, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Aug 07, 2022 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportivo Pasto to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Bucaramanga Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Deportivo Pasto Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Bucaramanga Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.