AI Match Insights

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Primera A Aug 30, 2025

Rionegro Aguilas

Home
VS
01:10

Millonarios

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Rionegro Aguilas Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Millonarios Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 4.07 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 0.5 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Rionegro Aguilas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Rionegro Aguilas Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 25 Rionegro … vs Bucaraman… 4-0
Aug 16 Rionegro … vs Chico 2-0
Aug 09 Rionegro … vs Once Cald… 1-1
Aug 04 Rionegro … vs Fortaleza… 2-2
Jul 27 Rionegro … vs America d… 2-1
Jul 22 Rionegro … vs Santa Fe 0-0
Jul 19 Rionegro … vs Junior 2-3
Jul 14 Rionegro … vs La Equida… 0-0
Jun 15 Rionegro … vs Envigado 2-0
Jun 11 Rionegro … vs Orsomarso 2-1
Millonarios Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 27 Millonari… vs Real Cart… 2-1
Aug 24 Millonari… vs Junior 3-0
Aug 21 Millonari… vs Union Mag… 1-2
Aug 17 Millonari… vs Deportes … 3-1
Aug 09 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 3-3
Aug 03 Millonari… vs Independi… 1-0
Aug 01 Millonari… vs Real Cart… 3-1
Jul 29 Millonari… vs Llaneros 0-1
Jul 24 Millonari… vs La Equida… 1-0
Jun 20 Millonari… vs Santa Fe 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Millonarios struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Rionegro Aguilas to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rionegro Aguilas Power 0
Millonarios Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Rionegro Aguilas Position

+5

Position Gap

18

Millonarios Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.