AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Aug 09, 2025

Millonarios

Home
VS
00:30

Deportivo Pasto

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Millonarios Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Deportivo Pasto Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.63 - 0.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.8
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Millonarios Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 03 Millonari… vs Independi… 1-0
Aug 01 Millonari… vs Real Cart… 3-1
Jul 29 Millonari… vs Llaneros 0-1
Jul 24 Millonari… vs La Equida… 1-0
Jun 20 Millonari… vs Santa Fe 1-2
Jun 17 Millonari… vs Atlético … 0-1
Jun 12 Millonari… vs Once Cald… 2-2
Jun 09 Millonari… vs Once Cald… 0-0
Jun 06 Millonari… vs Atlético … 0-0
Jun 01 Millonari… vs Santa Fe 0-1
Deportivo Pasto Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 07 Deportivo… vs Union Mag… 1-1
Aug 03 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 2-1
Aug 02 Deportivo… vs Llaneros 0-3
Jul 28 Deportivo… vs Bucaraman… 2-3
Jul 26 Deportivo… vs Chico 2-2
Jul 25 Deportivo… vs Deportes … 1-0
Jul 25 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 1-1
Jul 23 Deportivo… vs Atlético … 2-1
Jul 20 Deportivo… vs Envigado 0-0
Jul 19 Deportivo… vs Alianza P… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Millonarios struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2025 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 1 Millonarios Primera A
Dec 09, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Nov 20, 2024 Millonarios 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 04, 2024 Millonarios 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Apr 15, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 2 - 3 Millonarios Primera A
Jul 16, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Mar 23, 2023 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 14, 2022 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Jul 09, 2022 Millonarios 1 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Millonarios Power 0
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Millonarios Position

-17

Position Gap

1

Deportivo Pasto Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.