AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Aug 02, 2025

Deportivo Pasto

Home
VS
19:00

Llaneros

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Deportivo Pasto Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Llaneros Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.49 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.6 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Llaneros Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Deportivo Pasto Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 28 Deportivo… vs Bucaraman… 2-3
Jul 26 Deportivo… vs Chico 2-2
Jul 25 Deportivo… vs Deportes … 1-0
Jul 25 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 1-1
Jul 23 Deportivo… vs Atlético … 2-1
Jul 20 Deportivo… vs Envigado 0-0
Jul 19 Deportivo… vs Alianza P… 1-0
Jul 13 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 2-2
Jul 13 Deportivo… vs Junior 0-2
Jul 12 Deportivo… vs Deportes … 3-2
Llaneros Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 29 Llaneros vs Millonari… 0-1
Jul 23 Llaneros vs Chico 2-1
Jul 18 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 0-0
Jul 11 Llaneros vs America d… 0-0
Jun 15 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 0-0
Jun 09 Llaneros vs Real Sant… 2-1
Jun 02 Llaneros vs Deportivo… 3-0
May 28 Llaneros vs Depor FC 1-1
May 24 Llaneros vs Envigado 1-2
May 19 Llaneros vs Deportes … 1-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 02, 2025 Deportivo Pasto 3 - 0 Llaneros Copa Colombia
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportivo Pasto to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Llaneros Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Deportivo Pasto Position

+7

Position Gap

8

Llaneros Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.