AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Jul 28, 2025

Bucaramanga

Home
VS
23:00

Deportivo Pasto

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Bucaramanga Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Deportivo Pasto Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.70 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.8
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Bucaramanga Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 13 Bucaraman… vs Chico 1-1
Jun 14 Bucaraman… vs Popayan 0-1
Jun 10 Bucaraman… vs Chico 3-2
Jun 07 Bucaraman… vs Quindio 2-2
Jun 02 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 3-1
May 25 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 2-1
May 17 Bucaraman… vs La Equida… 1-4
May 10 Bucaraman… vs Independi… 2-0
May 03 Bucaraman… vs Llaneros 2-1
Apr 28 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 0-2
Deportivo Pasto Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 26 Deportivo… vs Chico 2-2
Jul 25 Deportivo… vs Deportes … 1-0
Jul 25 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 1-1
Jul 23 Deportivo… vs Atlético … 2-1
Jul 20 Deportivo… vs Envigado 0-0
Jul 19 Deportivo… vs Alianza P… 1-0
Jul 13 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 2-2
Jul 13 Deportivo… vs Junior 0-2
Jul 12 Deportivo… vs Deportes … 3-2
Jun 16 Deportivo… vs Bogota FC 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bucaramanga in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 02, 2025 Bucaramanga 3 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Copa Colombia
May 25, 2025 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Oct 24, 2024 Bucaramanga 0 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Copa Colombia
Oct 18, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Bucaramanga Copa Colombia
Aug 24, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Bucaramanga Primera A
Feb 20, 2024 Bucaramanga 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Sep 21, 2023 Bucaramanga 0 - 2 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Apr 13, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Aug 07, 2022 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Feb 11, 2022 Bucaramanga 0 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bucaramanga to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bucaramanga Power 0
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Bucaramanga Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Deportivo Pasto Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.