AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Jul 26, 2025

Atlético Nacional

Home
VS
01:30

Santa Fe

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Atlético Nacional Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Santa Fe Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 47%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.39 - 1.70
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Santa Fe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 0-2 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Atlético Nacional Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 23 Atlético … vs Deportivo… 2-1
Jul 19 Atlético … vs La Equida… 3-1
Jul 12 Atlético … vs Once Cald… 1-3
Jun 19 Atlético … vs Once Cald… 1-2
Jun 17 Atlético … vs Millonari… 0-1
Jun 13 Atlético … vs Santa Fe 1-2
Jun 08 Atlético … vs Santa Fe 1-2
Jun 06 Atlético … vs Millonari… 0-0
Jun 02 Atlético … vs Once Cald… 0-0
May 25 Atlético … vs Junior 2-3
Santa Fe Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 22 Santa Fe vs Rionegro … 0-0
Jul 19 Santa Fe vs Deportes … 0-1
Jul 13 Santa Fe vs Deportivo… 2-2
Jun 29 Santa Fe vs Independi… 1-2
Jun 25 Santa Fe vs Independi… 0-0
Jun 20 Santa Fe vs Millonari… 1-2
Jun 16 Santa Fe vs Once Cald… 1-0
Jun 13 Santa Fe vs Atlético … 1-2
Jun 08 Santa Fe vs Atlético … 1-2
Jun 05 Santa Fe vs Once Cald… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • AtlĂ©tico Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 13, 2025 Santa Fe 1 - 2 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Jun 08, 2025 Atlético Nacional 1 - 2 Santa Fe Primera A
Feb 13, 2025 Santa Fe 2 - 2 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Dec 09, 2024 Santa Fe 0 - 3 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Nov 21, 2024 Atlético Nacional 5 - 0 Santa Fe Primera A
Nov 05, 2024 Atlético Nacional 1 - 1 Santa Fe Primera A
Apr 13, 2024 Santa Fe 0 - 0 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Sep 21, 2023 Atlético Nacional 3 - 0 Santa Fe Primera A
May 12, 2023 Santa Fe 0 - 2 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Nacional Power 0
Santa Fe Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Atlético Nacional Position

+3

Position Gap

9

Santa Fe Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.