AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Jul 21, 2025

Millonarios

Home
VS
00:30

Deportivo Pasto

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Millonarios Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Deportivo Pasto Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.93 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (26%) 1-0 (25%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Under 2.5 Goals 85%
Millonarios Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 20 Millonari… vs Santa Fe 1-2
Jun 17 Millonari… vs Atlético … 0-1
Jun 12 Millonari… vs Once Cald… 2-2
Jun 09 Millonari… vs Once Cald… 0-0
Jun 06 Millonari… vs Atlético … 0-0
Jun 01 Millonari… vs Santa Fe 0-1
May 25 Millonari… vs Chico 4-2
May 17 Millonari… vs Envigado 1-0
May 12 Millonari… vs Once Cald… 2-2
May 09 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Deportivo Pasto Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 20 Deportivo… vs Envigado 0-0
Jul 19 Deportivo… vs Alianza P… 1-0
Jul 13 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 2-2
Jul 13 Deportivo… vs Junior 0-2
Jul 12 Deportivo… vs Deportes … 3-2
Jun 16 Deportivo… vs Bogota FC 0-3
Jun 15 Deportivo… vs Depor FC 1-0
Jun 14 Deportivo… vs Chico 1-0
Jun 12 Deportivo… vs Union Mag… 3-1
Jun 12 Deportivo… vs La Equida… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2025 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 1 Millonarios Primera A
Dec 09, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Nov 20, 2024 Millonarios 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 04, 2024 Millonarios 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Apr 15, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 2 - 3 Millonarios Primera A
Jul 16, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Mar 23, 2023 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 14, 2022 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Jul 09, 2022 Millonarios 1 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Millonarios Power 0
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Millonarios Position

-17

Position Gap

1

Deportivo Pasto Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.