AI Match Insights
Primera A Jun 13, 2025
Santa Fe
HomeVS
01:20
Atlético Nacional
AwayAI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Santa Fe Win
Draw
Atlético Nacional Win
Home Win
(59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
Combined: 44%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.93 - 0.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Santa Fe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Atlético Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (28%)
1-0 (26%)
2-0 (12%)
0-1 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
13%
Under 2.5 Goals
87%
Santa Fe Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 08 | Santa Fe vs Atlético … | 1-2 |
| Jun 05 | Santa Fe vs Once Cald… | 1-2 |
| Jun 01 | Santa Fe vs Millonari… | 0-1 |
| May 25 | Santa Fe vs Alianza P… | 6-1 |
| May 17 | Santa Fe vs Deportivo… | 0-2 |
| May 11 | Santa Fe vs Junior | 2-1 |
| May 01 | Santa Fe vs Llaneros | 0-1 |
| Apr 27 | Santa Fe vs Chico | 0-0 |
| Apr 15 | Santa Fe vs Independi… | 1-2 |
| Mar 19 | Santa Fe vs Bucaraman… | 1-1 |
Atlético Nacional Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 08 | Atlético … vs Santa Fe | 1-2 |
| Jun 06 | Atlético … vs Millonari… | 0-0 |
| Jun 02 | Atlético … vs Once Cald… | 0-0 |
| May 25 | Atlético … vs Junior | 2-3 |
| May 18 | Atlético … vs Rionegro … | 2-1 |
| May 11 | Atlético … vs Llaneros | 2-1 |
| May 04 | Atlético … vs Independi… | 1-1 |
| Apr 30 | Atlético … vs Deportivo… | 3-0 |
| Apr 20 | Atlético … vs Deportivo… | 1-0 |
| Apr 16 | Atlético … vs Chico | 4-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Santa Fe in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Atlético Nacional struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 08, 2025 | Atlético Nacional | 1 - 2 | Santa Fe | Primera A |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Santa Fe | 2 - 2 | Atlético Nacional | Primera A |
| Dec 09, 2024 | Santa Fe | 0 - 3 | Atlético Nacional | Primera A |
| Nov 21, 2024 | Atlético Nacional | 5 - 0 | Santa Fe | Primera A |
| Nov 05, 2024 | Atlético Nacional | 1 - 1 | Santa Fe | Primera A |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Santa Fe | 0 - 0 | Atlético Nacional | Primera A |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Atlético Nacional | 3 - 0 | Santa Fe | Primera A |
| May 12, 2023 | Santa Fe | 0 - 2 | Atlético Nacional | Primera A |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Santa Fe Power
0
Atlético Nacional Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
9
Santa Fe Position-3
Position Gap6
Atlético Nacional Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.