AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Jun 08, 2025

Atlético Nacional

Home
VS
21:05

Santa Fe

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Atlético Nacional Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Santa Fe Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.58 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 0.9
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Santa Fe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Atlético Nacional Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 06 Atlético … vs Millonari… 0-0
Jun 02 Atlético … vs Once Cald… 0-0
May 25 Atlético … vs Junior 2-3
May 18 Atlético … vs Rionegro … 2-1
May 11 Atlético … vs Llaneros 2-1
May 04 Atlético … vs Independi… 1-1
Apr 30 Atlético … vs Deportivo… 3-0
Apr 20 Atlético … vs Deportivo… 1-0
Apr 16 Atlético … vs Chico 4-1
Apr 13 Atlético … vs Millonari… 0-0
Santa Fe Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 05 Santa Fe vs Once Cald… 1-2
Jun 01 Santa Fe vs Millonari… 0-1
May 25 Santa Fe vs Alianza P… 6-1
May 17 Santa Fe vs Deportivo… 0-2
May 11 Santa Fe vs Junior 2-1
May 01 Santa Fe vs Llaneros 0-1
Apr 27 Santa Fe vs Chico 0-0
Apr 15 Santa Fe vs Independi… 1-2
Mar 19 Santa Fe vs Bucaraman… 1-1
Mar 16 Santa Fe vs Once Cald… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santa Fe in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 09, 2024 Santa Fe 0 - 3 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Nov 21, 2024 Atlético Nacional 5 - 0 Santa Fe Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Nacional Power 0
Santa Fe Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Atlético Nacional Position

+3

Position Gap

9

Santa Fe Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.